Strategic Deterrence: A Game-Theoretic Analysis of Nuclear Weapon Usage
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.58445/rars.2631Keywords:
game theory, nuclear weapons, mathematical modeling, international relationsAbstract
This research paper provides an analysis of nuclear weapon usage in the present-day world through the lens of game theory. Despite the existence of nuclear weapons as the most formidable and threatening form of warfare, this paper explores the reasons behind the non-usage of nuclear weapons despite multiple armed conflicts since its only recorded use in human history in 1945. Through an examination of historical events, such as the Cuban Missile Crisis, this paper illustrates how nuclear cooperation has been established to prevent damaging nuclear conflict. Furthermore, this paper generalizes this analysis to the present-day global landscape, highlighting why nuclear weapons exist primarily as deterrents that act as signals rather than active tools of warfare and destruction. This study is grounded in mathematical game-theoretic concepts, although non-mathematical and intuitive explanations of such concepts also exist to provide the reader with a holistic understanding of basic game theory.
References
Britannica, T. Editors of Encyclopaedia (2024, August 11). Mutual assured destruction. Encyclopedia Britannica. https://www.britannica.com/topic/mutual-assured-destruction
Burton, K. D. (2020, July 16). "Destroyer of Worlds": The Making of an Atomic Bomb. The National WWII Museum. https://www.nationalww2museum.org/war/articles/making-the-atomic-bomb-trinity-test
Cuban Missile Crisis. (n.d.). John F. Kennedy Presidential Library and Museum. https://www.jfklibrary.org/learn/about-jfk/jfk-in-history/cuban-missile-crisis
Ferreira, J. L. (Presenter). (2023, September 12). Introduction to Game Theory. Normal Form Games. Lecture presented at Universidad Carlos III de Madrid.
Gilsinan, K. (2024, April 29). 72 Minutes Until the End of the World? Politico. https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2024/04/29/the-frighteningly-fast-path-to-nuclear-armageddon-00154591
Hayes, A. (2024, June 27). Game Theory: A Comprehensive Guide. Investopedia. https://www.investopedia.com/terms/g/gametheory.asp
Herre, B., Rosado, P., & Roser, M. (2013, August). Nuclear Weapons. Our World in Data. https://ourworldindata.org/nuclear-weapons
Hotz, H.W. (2006). A Short Introduction to Game Theory.
Jackson, M.O. (2011). A Brief Introduction to the Basics of Game Theory. Social Sciences Education eJournal.
Levin, J. (Presenter). (2002, January). Extensive Form Games. Lecture presented at Stanford University.
Nuclear Weapons Worldwide. (n.d.). Union of Concerned Scientists. https://www.ucsusa.org/nuclear-weapons/worldwide
Smead, R. (2015). A Brief Introduction to the Basics of Game Theory.
The Cuban Missile Crisis, October 1962. (n.d.). Office of The Historian. https://history.state.gov/milestones/1961-1968/cuban-missile-crisis
Wellerstein, A. (2020, August 4). Counting the dead at Hiroshima and Nagasaki. Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. https://thebulletin.org/2020/08/counting-the-dead-at-hiroshima-and-nagasaki/
What is game theory in economics? (2024, April 22). Universidad Europea. https://universidadeuropea.com/en/blog/game-theory-economics/
Downloads
Posted
Categories
License
Copyright (c) 2025 Irhan Iftikar

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.